We test it before you trust it.
WickViper is a lab and community for traders of gold, indices and forex. We test popular strategies on 14 years of minute data, grade our own analysis every day and publish what does not work, too.
- 14 years
- of gold and index minute data in every test
- 70,000+
- trading-rule variants tested
- most
- popular ideas did not survive costs — and we say so openly
High risk. Educational content, not personal advice. Past results do not predict future results. 18+.
The lab: market myths checked with numbers
Each card answers one question traders ask. The answer comes first, then the data, the costs and the limits.
- Fails after costs Do popular MT5 indicators give an edge in short-term gold trading?
Not after costs. Of 1,144 combinations (EMA, MACD, RSI, Stochastic, CCI, Ichimoku, Bollinger, SAR, ADX…) none had a positive net result. The best one before costs made +0.40 bp per trade, and −1.73 bp on new data.
- Fails after costs Do simple price rules (breakouts, rejections, VWAP) give an edge when scalping gold?
No. Of 10,680 rules, none passed the test in 2012–2019 or in gold’s current regime in 2021–2024. The median result before costs was +0.05 and +0.01 bp per trade — zero.
- Fails after costs Does a filter of “only with the current session’s direction” improve short-term gold trades?
No. The filter cut about two thirds of the trades, but the rest did the same or worse: −0.91 and −1.21 bp per trade versus −1.02 bp without the filter (2022–2024).
- Works After the most important US releases, does gold continue the move of the first 30 minutes?
After FOMC, CPI and NFP — in our data, yes: +5.7 bp per trade after costs (t 2.66, 480 events). After 9 other releases (PCE, PPI, retail sales, GDP, ISM, JOLTS, ADP, durable goods) the effect disappeared after 2019.
- Fails after costs Do exchange data (who buys aggressively, order book imbalance, options) predict gold over the next 15–60 minutes?
Not in our tests. The opportunity exists (moves after such signals are about 3 times the cost on micro contracts), but none of the three measures pointed the direction: options flow was right 49.8% of the time.
- Works Do US indices still tend to rise on the day before a market holiday?
In our data, yes: on US500, US100 and US30 with a broker, +40 to +66 bp on average for the session before a holiday after costs (t 3.4–4.0), and +44 bp on the S&P 500 in 1990–2010 (t 3.27).
A market journal that grades itself
In the morning: what moves gold, the DAX and EUR/USD today, key levels and scenarios both ways. In the evening: a grade for the morning plan. Hits and misses stay in the archive.
Daily plan
Calendar, levels, if–then scenarios. Information, not a buy instruction.
Evening grade
What worked, what did not, and why. Nothing added after the fact.
Archive and hit rate
Every day stays. The average hit rate is visible from the first entry.
The academy: from zero to your own plan
Lessons in order, each with numbers and sources. No courses that cost a fortune.
Tools that protect your account
Size the position before you click. See what risk does to an account across 1,000 simulations.
- Position size calculator
How many lots to open so the loss at your stop-loss is exactly what you planned.
- Risk-of-ruin simulator
1,000 simulations of your strategy: how often the account loses half at a given risk per trade.
- Market sessions clock
Which session is open now in your time zone and when gold and indices move most.
A community that learns from data
A free channel and a group with rules. Every week a shared trade journal and anonymous stats: the most common mistake of the week, the average result in R, how many kept their stop-loss.
- No spam and no “DM me”
- Questions get an answer with a number, not a promise
- A weekly market review
VIP — for those who want more
Our live setups with a full public ledger of results, losses included. VIP opens only after 25 closed setups are in the ledger, so you have something to judge before you pay.
0 of 25 closed signals in the ledger. Until then we accept no payments.
Frequently asked questions
What is WickViper?
A lab and community for traders of gold, indices and forex. We test popular strategies on data, run a graded market journal and an academy with tools. VIP setups are just one optional part.
Is this investment advice?
No. We publish information and educational material, the same for everyone. We do not know your situation and do not tell you what to buy. Trading CFDs and forex is very risky.
How much does it cost?
The lab, the market journal, the academy, the tools and the community are free. Only VIP is paid, and it opens after 25 closed setups are in the public ledger.
Where does your test data come from?
From minute prices of gold and indices since 2012 (Dukascopy) and CME exchange data. Costs are measured on real trades with a broker, not taken from a price list.
Why publish strategies that do not work?
Because it is the most valuable information a trader can get: it saves money and time. Most popular ideas do not make money after costs — we would rather show that than sell illusions.
Who is behind it?
The WickViper team: a trader and a data analyst with an editorial team. Details, methodology and editorial rules are on the About page.
Learn from data, not from promises.
Join the free channel. You get the market journal, new studies and the weekly review first.